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The 2015 NCAA Tournament is down to the final four teams. The biggest surprise is Michigan State, who started the tournament with a 1.8% chance to make the final four. Those chances were especially long when compared to the pre-tournament chances of the other three final four teams (Kentucky at 67.9%, Wisconsin at 43.2%, and Duke at 30.3%).

Kentucky is still the clear favorite to win the tournament. Should Kentucky not advance to the final game, however, there will be no clear favorite to win out.

TeamSeedRegionFinal GameWinnerB-T Effect
Duke1South0.730.205.23
Kentucky1Midwest0.700.576.63
Michigan St7East0.270.034.08
Wisconsin1West0.300.205.54

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