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Tournament predictions are based on this statistical model factoring in team performance and team consistency. For predictions, the algorithm draws scores of all tournament games randomly creating 10,000 simulated tournament brackets. The resulting tournament bracket results are then tabulated to provide the proportion of times a given team wins the tournament or advances to a given round.
The table contains:
Latest Update: Sweet Sixteen
Team | Seed | Region | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Two | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gonzaga | 1 | West | 0.6756 | 0.4952 | 0.3721 | 0.2655 |
Kansas | 1 | Midwest | 0.6783 | 0.4074 | 0.2252 | 0.0969 |
Arizona | 2 | West | 0.8265 | 0.3097 | 0.1729 | 0.0963 |
Florida | 4 | East | 0.5965 | 0.4154 | 0.1649 | 0.0883 |
UCLA | 3 | South | 0.5425 | 0.3133 | 0.1756 | 0.0784 |
Michigan | 7 | Midwest | 0.5773 | 0.2805 | 0.1373 | 0.06 |
North Carolina | 1 | South | 0.542 | 0.2504 | 0.1266 | 0.0551 |
Kentucky | 2 | South | 0.4575 | 0.2413 | 0.125 | 0.0539 |
Wisconsin | 8 | East | 0.4035 | 0.2465 | 0.0932 | 0.0452 |
West Virginia | 4 | West | 0.3244 | 0.1665 | 0.0839 | 0.0428 |
Baylor | 3 | East | 0.6485 | 0.2487 | 0.0847 | 0.0355 |
Butler | 4 | South | 0.458 | 0.195 | 0.0862 | 0.0321 |
Purdue | 4 | Midwest | 0.3217 | 0.1555 | 0.0639 | 0.0229 |
Oregon | 3 | Midwest | 0.4227 | 0.1566 | 0.0602 | 0.0194 |
South Carolina | 7 | East | 0.3515 | 0.0894 | 0.0218 | 0.0065 |
Xavier | 11 | West | 0.1735 | 0.0286 | 0.0065 | 0.0012 |