The 2015 NCAA Tournament is down to the final four teams. The biggest surprise is Michigan State, who started the tournament with a 1.8% chance to make the final four. Those chances were especially long when compared to the pre-tournament chances of the other three final four teams (Kentucky at 67.9%, Wisconsin at 43.2%, and Duke at 30.3%).
Kentucky is still the clear favorite to win the tournament. Should Kentucky not advance to the final game, however, there will be no clear favorite to win out.
| Team | Seed | Region | Final Game | Winner | B-T Effect |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke | 1 | South | 0.73 | 0.20 | 5.23 |
| Kentucky | 1 | Midwest | 0.70 | 0.57 | 6.63 |
| Michigan St | 7 | East | 0.27 | 0.03 | 4.08 |
| Wisconsin | 1 | West | 0.30 | 0.20 | 5.54 |